Monday, April 9, 2012

Discounted Cash Flow - Worst Case



Discounted Cash Flow - Worst Case            
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Purchase Price(1,250,000)           
Potential Gross Income (PGI) 144,000 145,440 146,894 148,363 149,847 151,345 152,859 154,387 155,931 157,491 159,066
Other Income (OI or PGMI) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(Vacancy & Collection Loss) (VCL) (7,200)(7,272)(7,345)(7,418)(7,492)(7,567)(7,643)(7,719)(7,797)(7,875)(7,953)
Effective Gross Income (EGI) 136,800 138,168 139,550 140,945 142,355 143,778 145,216 146,668 148,135 149,616 151,112
Operating Expenses (OE) (28,800)(29,376)(29,964)(30,563)(31,174)(31,798)        (32,433)              (33,082)          (33,744)             (34,419)          (35,107)
Net Operating Income (NOI) 108,000 108,792 109,586 110,382 111,181 111,981 112,782 113,586 114,391 115,197 116,005
(Debt Service) (DS) (62,123)(62,123)(62,123)(62,123)(62,123)(62,123)(62,123)(62,123)(62,123)(62,123)(62,123)
Before Tax Cash Flow(312,500)45,877 46,669 47,463 48,259 49,058 49,858 50,660 51,463 52,268 53,075 53,882
             
             
Sales Price1,035,761            
Loan Balloon Payment(482,508)           
Before Tax Sales Revenue553,253            
Unleveraged Cash FlowLeveraged Cash Flow
Time$Time$
0 (1,250,000)0 (312,500)
1 108,000 1 45,877
2 108,792 2 46,669
3 109,586 3 47,463
4 110,382 4 48,259
5 111,181 5 49,058
6 111,981 6 49,858
7 112,782 7 50,660
8 113,586 8 51,463
9 114,391 9 52,268
10 1,150,959 10 606,328
IRR0.0769 IRR0.1866
NPV(168,815)NPV200,939

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